When you settle in Quebec, groceries are often the first big budget surprise. And 2026 offers no relief: prices keep climbing, a bit faster here than elsewhere in the country.
The forecast. Canada's annual food price report projects a 4% to 6% rise in food prices in 2026. For a family of four, the yearly grocery bill would reach roughly $17,572, up to $994.63 more than in 2025.
Quebec above the average. After a fairly quiet year, Quebec this time is expected to post an increase above the national average. So don't assume the prices in a national flyer reflect what you'll actually pay here.
What's pushing prices up. Meat leads the way: beef could climb up to 7%, driven by smaller herds and trade tensions with the United States. Tariffs and climate-related crop disruptions add to the pressure.
An increase that compounds. These percentages stack year after year. That's why today's basket already weighs far more than it did a few years ago — a reminder that "inflation is slowing" does not mean "prices are falling."
Good to know for newcomers. A few local habits make a real difference. Compare the weekly flyers (circulaires) — several chains offer price-matching against competitors. Look at the price per 100 g or per kilo, not just the shelf price. Neighbourhood grocers, ethnic markets and warehouse stores often beat the big banners on staples. And if money is tight, the ACEF network offers free, non-judgmental budgeting help across Quebec.
